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Red389
4917194.2
6342135.4
1334155.6
Blue104
2702123.1
5589121.7
4248116.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344247100200300400500600389104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.212.4
108.5120.8
Auto27.5
Teleop136.7
End34.0
red by 71.1
2702
#21
123.114.3
89.9104.2
Auto15.8
Teleop86.5
End20.4
Second
155.615.6
78.193.7
Auto18.6
Teleop112.9
End25.2
red by 33.9
5589
#25
121.716.3
72.288.4
Auto18.4
Teleop91.8
End8.3
Third
6342
#15
135.413.3
99.3112.6
Auto19.6
Teleop97.3
End16.1
red by 18.7
4248
#28
116.70.2
111.6111.8
Auto17.0
Teleop89.6
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed