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Red255
4777110.3
3756116.9
4704122.8
Blue286
6331105.4
2634117.7
6052118.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254272100200300400500255286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4704
#12
122.81.4
125.3123.9
Auto19.3
Teleop94.3
End6.6
red by 4.6
6052
#23
118.216.4
71.487.7
Auto18.3
Teleop84.0
End17.8
Second
3756
#32
116.916.8
67.784.5
Auto15.0
Teleop87.0
End14.9
blue by 0.8
2634
#30
117.715.1
82.597.6
Auto11.4
Teleop91.0
End14.9
Third
4777
#18
110.31.2
108.3109.5
Auto18.5
Teleop79.0
End14.8
red by 4.8
6331
#22
105.40.5
110.4109.9
Auto13.5
Teleop77.0
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed