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Red431
4678159.4
3739129.3
4525165.0
Blue171
6856100.1
2609160.6
3683163.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813240100200400500600700431171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.014.3
90.3104.5
Auto22.9
Teleop119.9
End23.6
red by 1.4
163.611.9
112.4124.4
Auto22.6
Teleop118.2
End25.2
Second
4678
#10
159.412.4
107.8120.2
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End10.6
blue by 1.1
2609
#11
160.60.1
157.6157.7
Auto23.8
Teleop119.6
End15.6
Third
3739
#16
129.316.2
72.989.0
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End12.0
red by 29.1
6856
#14
100.143.7
121.577.7
Auto14.9
Teleop79.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed