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Red132
4814124.2
6875101.2
7058113.0
Blue334
5032136.9
1374132.1
3161139.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283272150200250300350132334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4814
#20
124.213.9
94.0107.9
Auto19.1
Teleop97.9
End7.5
blue by 14.9
139.116.7
68.184.8
Auto16.8
Teleop107.1
End14.5
Second
7058
#29
113.052.4
130.277.7
Auto17.1
Teleop86.0
End11.0
blue by 23.9
5032
#13
136.90.0
124.9124.9
Auto15.8
Teleop107.8
End12.3
Third
6875
#27
101.257.2
134.977.7
Auto13.1
Teleop76.0
End16.1
blue by 30.8
1374
#24
132.116.7
68.585.2
Auto17.9
Teleop98.3
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed