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Red121
2634117.7
7022100.2
2609160.6
Blue463
2056225.6
6461111.4
772171.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2743460100200400500600700121463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#11
160.60.9
157.7156.8
Auto23.8
Teleop119.6
End15.6
blue by 65.0
225.68.4
155.2163.6
Auto28.2
Teleop158.7
End40.0
Second
2634
#30
117.710.8
97.6108.4
Auto11.4
Teleop91.0
End14.9
blue by 53.9
772
#3
171.613.8
95.0108.7
Auto24.8
Teleop120.2
End29.3
Third
7022
#19
100.228.4
106.177.7
Auto12.8
Teleop76.4
End12.6
blue by 11.2
6461
#31
111.49.0
92.3101.3
Auto17.4
Teleop81.0
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned