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Red121
4595108.3
3756116.9
4525165.0
Blue445
5589121.7
5032136.9
4917194.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312353150200250400450500121445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.06.6
143.1149.8
Auto22.9
Teleop119.9
End23.6
blue by 29.3
194.29.4
158.6168.0
Auto27.5
Teleop136.7
End34.0
Second
3756
#32
116.95.3
114.0119.3
Auto15.0
Teleop87.0
End14.9
blue by 20.0
5032
#13
136.91.3
128.2129.5
Auto15.8
Teleop107.8
End12.3
Third
4595
#17
108.34.4
110.1114.5
Auto12.6
Teleop83.4
End13.4
blue by 13.3
5589
#25
121.73.8
111.1114.9
Auto18.4
Teleop91.8
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned