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Red149
3739129.3
4777110.3
6331105.4
Blue445
1374132.1
4704122.8
3683163.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228353100200300400500600149445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#16
129.33.2
125.9129.1
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End12.0
blue by 34.3
163.63.6
145.1148.6
Auto22.6
Teleop118.2
End25.2
Second
4777
#18
110.30.5
114.9115.4
Auto18.5
Teleop79.0
End14.8
blue by 21.8
1374
#24
132.15.8
118.9124.7
Auto17.9
Teleop98.3
End16.4
Third
6331
#22
105.40.4
110.3109.9
Auto13.5
Teleop77.0
End18.2
blue by 17.4
4704
#12
122.80.1
122.3122.5
Auto19.3
Teleop94.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed