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Red303
2609160.6
2702123.1
4814124.2
Blue225
2634117.7
3756116.9
4248116.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353259100200300400500303225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#11
160.61.2
156.0157.2
Auto23.8
Teleop119.6
End15.6
red by 42.9
2634
#30
117.71.5
122.3120.8
Auto11.4
Teleop91.0
End14.9
Second
4814
#20
124.20.3
125.8126.1
Auto19.1
Teleop97.9
End7.5
red by 7.3
3756
#32
116.90.6
119.3119.9
Auto15.0
Teleop87.0
End14.9
Third
2702
#21
123.11.2
127.0125.8
Auto15.8
Teleop86.5
End20.4
red by 6.4
4248
#28
116.70.2
113.4113.6
Auto17.0
Teleop89.6
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed