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Red219
1374132.1
4917194.2
6856100.1
Blue465
772171.6
1241217.8
3739129.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271404100200300500600219465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.29.7
168.0177.7
Auto27.5
Teleop136.7
End34.0
blue by 23.6
217.81.6
206.7208.3
Auto24.7
Teleop165.7
End26.4
Second
1374
#24
132.16.5
124.7131.2
Auto17.9
Teleop98.3
End16.4
blue by 39.5
772
#3
171.64.6
153.7158.3
Auto24.8
Teleop120.2
End29.3
Third
6856
#14
100.12.7
90.593.2
Auto14.9
Teleop79.2
End7.2
blue by 29.1
3739
#16
129.30.1
129.1129.0
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned