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Red301
4525165.0
6342135.4
6331105.4
Blue432
3161139.1
1334155.6
5024131.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305334100200400500600301432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.02.5
153.2155.7
Auto22.9
Teleop119.9
End23.6
red by 9.3
155.63.3
144.6147.9
Auto18.6
Teleop112.9
End25.2
Second
6342
#15
135.40.4
138.2138.6
Auto19.6
Teleop97.3
End16.1
blue by 3.7
139.11.4
131.4132.8
Auto16.8
Teleop107.1
End14.5
Third
6331
#22
105.40.9
107.8106.9
Auto13.5
Teleop77.0
End18.2
blue by 25.7
5024
#26
131.10.4
130.0129.6
Auto13.5
Teleop99.3
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed