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Red277
4704122.8
4917194.2
4595108.3
Blue385
2056225.6
4814124.2
3739129.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284396100200500600277385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.25.0
182.3187.3
Auto27.5
Teleop136.7
End34.0
blue by 31.3
225.64.7
210.7215.3
Auto28.2
Teleop158.7
End40.0
Second
4704
#12
122.80.1
123.9124.1
Auto19.3
Teleop94.3
End6.6
blue by 6.5
3739
#16
129.31.3
130.4131.8
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End12.0
Third
4595
#17
108.31.3
114.1112.8
Auto12.6
Teleop83.4
End13.4
blue by 15.8
4814
#20
124.21.8
126.0127.8
Auto19.1
Teleop97.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed30%Face the Boss oddsMissed