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Red205
5024131.1
2702123.1
1374132.1
Blue306
2852134.7
4704122.8
2634117.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289309100150200250350400450205306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1374
#24
132.10.2
135.3135.1
Auto17.9
Teleop98.3
End16.4
blue by 2.7
134.71.5
128.9130.4
Auto17.0
Teleop102.8
End15.8
Second
5024
#26
131.10.3
129.6129.9
Auto13.5
Teleop99.3
End22.2
red by 8.3
4704
#12
122.80.6
124.1123.4
Auto19.3
Teleop94.3
End6.6
Third
2702
#21
123.10.2
124.3124.1
Auto15.8
Teleop86.5
End20.4
red by 5.4
2634
#30
117.71.1
121.1120.0
Auto11.4
Teleop91.0
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed