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Red238
6856100.1
3161139.1
5589121.7
Blue174
2609160.6
3739129.3
6461111.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2473450100200300400500238174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
139.12.0
132.8134.8
Auto16.8
Teleop107.1
End14.5
blue by 21.4
2609
#11
160.61.4
158.8160.2
Auto23.8
Teleop119.6
End15.6
Second
5589
#25
121.71.1
124.8123.7
Auto18.4
Teleop91.8
End8.3
blue by 7.6
3739
#16
129.30.4
131.8132.2
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End12.0
Third
6856
#14
100.11.9
94.496.3
Auto14.9
Teleop79.2
End7.2
blue by 11.3
6461
#31
111.41.8
119.3117.4
Auto17.4
Teleop81.0
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed