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Red385
5505171.2
4936146.6
4405163.2
Blue365
6544142.4
4992138.8
4920118.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3902760100200500600700385365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#17
171.20.5
168.2168.6
Auto17.9
Teleop134.2
End21.9
red by 28.8
6544
#10
142.40.2
142.1142.2
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End30.3
Second
4405
#20
163.20.5
165.7165.2
Auto22.1
Teleop121.4
End19.9
red by 24.4
138.80.2
138.3138.5
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.9
Third
146.60.2
147.7147.5
Auto21.4
Teleop108.8
End18.1
red by 28.4
4920
#19
118.20.5
117.2117.7
Auto17.0
Teleop88.8
End14.7