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Red424
33209.3
772199.5
6875113.2
Blue152
865171.5
3538204.7
6725133.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392356200300500600424152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
209.30.5
207.4208.0
Auto25.1
Teleop156.4
End30.2
red by 4.6
204.70.5
203.9204.4
Auto24.6
Teleop160.3
End21.2
Second
772
#2
199.50.8
196.5197.3
Auto28.8
Teleop140.1
End32.2
red by 28.0
865
#6
171.50.9
169.9170.8
Auto22.1
Teleop124.5
End26.8
Third
6875
#23
113.20.6
111.2111.7
Auto16.3
Teleop82.8
End15.2
blue by 19.9
6725
#27
133.00.1
133.0133.1
Auto17.2
Teleop101.3
End16.1