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Red375
5505171.2
4936146.6
4405163.2
Blue409
6544142.4
4992138.8
4920118.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388278100200500600700375409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#17
171.20.5
167.7168.2
Auto17.9
Teleop134.2
End21.9
red by 28.8
6544
#10
142.40.2
141.9142.1
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End30.3
Second
4405
#20
163.20.5
166.2165.7
Auto22.1
Teleop121.4
End19.9
red by 24.4
138.80.3
138.0138.3
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.9
Third
146.60.3
148.0147.7
Auto21.4
Teleop108.8
End18.1
red by 28.4
4920
#19
118.20.6
116.7117.2
Auto17.0
Teleop88.8
End14.7