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Red282
1114213.1
610238.7
6331102.4
Blue454
5505171.2
4936146.6
4405163.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions428276100200500600700282454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
238.70.5
238.2238.7
Auto29.2
Teleop172.6
End39.4
red by 67.5
5505
#17
171.20.4
169.9170.3
Auto17.9
Teleop134.2
End21.9
Second
213.10.3
213.5213.1
Auto27.2
Teleop158.0
End25.4
red by 49.9
4405
#20
163.20.3
164.0163.6
Auto22.1
Teleop121.4
End19.9
Third
6331
#28
102.40.2
102.6102.4
Auto15.4
Teleop71.9
End14.1
blue by 44.2
146.60.2
146.8146.7
Auto21.4
Teleop108.8
End18.1