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Red381
3538204.7
5505171.2
3571120.5
Blue221
1114213.1
6331102.4
6992125.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642630100200300400500600700381221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.71.3
196.2194.9
Auto24.6
Teleop160.3
End21.2
blue by 8.4
213.10.8
207.0207.7
Auto27.2
Teleop158.0
End25.4
Second
5505
#17
171.21.7
158.6160.3
Auto17.9
Teleop134.2
End21.9
red by 45.6
6992
#14
125.612.4
77.790.1
Auto16.0
Teleop88.4
End25.5
Third
3571
#13
120.512.7
84.597.2
Auto15.9
Teleop95.6
End9.6
red by 18.1
6331
#28
102.40.5
105.8105.3
Auto15.4
Teleop71.9
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed