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Red154
6725133.0
6481129.3
5426148.5
Blue383
6881105.0
610238.7
5821122.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663640100200300400500600700154383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5426
#11
148.511.2
103.5114.6
Auto19.6
Teleop106.3
End25.5
blue by 90.2
610
#1
238.72.2
212.9215.0
Auto29.2
Teleop172.6
End39.4
Second
6725
#27
133.06.4
107.6114.0
Auto17.2
Teleop101.3
End16.1
red by 10.8
5821
#33
122.29.4
88.097.5
Auto17.3
Teleop88.6
End13.3
Third
6481
#32
129.310.0
106.5116.5
Auto15.0
Teleop96.4
End20.2
red by 24.3
6881
#15
105.012.6
77.790.4
Auto17.1
Teleop82.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed