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Red60
5689118.8
4992138.8
77390.9
Blue493
5885134.7
772199.5
6537113.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213351010030040050060070060493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.811.0
91.7102.7
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.9
blue by 60.7
772
#2
199.51.8
174.2176.0
Auto28.8
Teleop140.1
End32.2
Second
5689
#22
118.88.9
104.5113.4
Auto16.5
Teleop88.9
End18.2
blue by 15.9
5885
#16
134.76.7
108.4115.0
Auto15.9
Teleop97.3
End25.1
Third
773
#36
90.90.5
95.294.7
Auto12.4
Teleop72.8
End8.4
blue by 22.3
113.26.9
91.298.1
Auto15.7
Teleop87.8
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned