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Red164
4405163.2
5505171.2
5483113.1
Blue407
865171.5
4936146.6
5288114.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642530100200300400500600700164407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#17
171.21.8
160.3162.1
Auto17.9
Teleop134.2
End21.9
blue by 0.2
865
#6
171.50.8
144.3145.1
Auto22.1
Teleop124.5
End26.8
Second
4405
#20
163.22.2
183.8181.7
Auto22.1
Teleop121.4
End19.9
red by 16.6
146.67.8
103.9111.6
Auto21.4
Teleop108.8
End18.1
Third
5483
#25
113.14.8
93.798.5
Auto15.0
Teleop87.9
End10.8
blue by 1.5
5288
#35
114.64.0
103.9107.9
Auto16.6
Teleop85.5
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed