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Red205
5870110.2
6992125.6
4932121.9
Blue312
5426148.5
490299.5
6544142.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2353030100200400500600700205312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6992
#14
125.68.0
90.198.1
Auto16.0
Teleop88.4
End25.5
blue by 22.9
5426
#11DQ
148.55.7
114.6120.4
Auto19.6
Teleop106.3
End25.5
Second
4932
#30
121.94.3
101.2105.5
Auto15.1
Teleop88.8
End22.2
blue by 20.5
6544
#10
142.40.9
141.9141.0
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End30.3
Third
5870
#37
110.27.7
91.899.5
Auto13.9
Teleop83.8
End8.0
red by 10.7
4902
#29
99.54.4
93.397.6
Auto14.0
Teleop76.7
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned