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Red189
4940117.1
5821122.2
540896.6
Blue268
3571120.5
5885134.7
4920118.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2293190100400500600700189268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5821
#33
122.27.6
97.5105.1
Auto17.3
Teleop88.6
End13.3
blue by 12.5
5885
#16
134.78.2
115.0123.2
Auto15.9
Teleop97.3
End25.1
Second
4940
#26
117.15.1
110.6115.7
Auto19.0
Teleop89.7
End7.5
blue by 3.5
3571
#13
120.59.5
97.2106.7
Auto15.9
Teleop95.6
End9.6
Third
5408
#34
96.63.7
95.298.9
Auto16.9
Teleop80.1
End0.2
blue by 21.6
4920
#19
118.25.4
102.8108.2
Auto17.0
Teleop88.8
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed