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Red378
4940117.1
5689118.8
865171.5
Blue186
4932121.9
540896.6
6331102.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352380100200300400500378186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#6
171.50.5
143.8144.3
Auto22.1
Teleop124.5
End26.8
red by 49.5
4932
#30
121.915.7
76.892.6
Auto15.1
Teleop88.8
End22.2
Second
5689
#22
118.815.7
77.192.8
Auto16.5
Teleop88.9
End18.2
red by 16.4
6331
#28
102.40.3
105.4105.8
Auto15.4
Teleop71.9
End14.1
Third
4940
#26
117.114.9
84.799.5
Auto19.0
Teleop89.7
End7.5
red by 20.4
5408
#34
96.616.6
69.586.1
Auto16.9
Teleop80.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed