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Red200
4688125.6
6202122.1
5870110.2
Blue316
6481129.3
6992125.6
6544142.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573090100200400500200316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4688
#24
125.615.0
83.398.3
Auto19.0
Teleop97.6
End11.4
blue by 16.8
6544
#10
142.40.5
142.7142.1
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End30.3
Second
6202
#18
122.116.9
66.283.2
Auto16.8
Teleop92.5
End12.8
blue by 7.2
6481
#32
129.314.0
92.5106.5
Auto15.0
Teleop96.4
End20.2
Third
5870
#37
110.217.1
64.881.9
Auto13.9
Teleop83.8
End8.0
blue by 15.4
6992
#14
125.658.4
136.177.7
Auto16.0
Teleop88.4
End25.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed