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Red261
4405163.2
4920118.2
4938108.8
Blue378
5505171.2
4992138.8
1114213.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2654020100200300500600261378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#20
163.20.8
184.6183.8
Auto22.1
Teleop121.4
End19.9
blue by 49.9
213.10.7
206.3207.0
Auto27.2
Teleop158.0
End25.4
Second
4920
#19
118.215.2
81.496.6
Auto17.0
Teleop88.8
End14.7
blue by 53.0
5505
#17
171.21.9
156.6158.6
Auto17.9
Teleop134.2
End21.9
Third
4938
#31
108.815.2
81.696.8
Auto17.4
Teleop82.7
End7.9
blue by 30.0
138.815.9
75.991.7
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed