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Red407
5426148.5
610238.7
3571120.5
Blue197
6725133.0
3538204.7
6537113.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340311100200400500407197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
238.71.9
210.9212.9
Auto29.2
Teleop172.6
End39.4
red by 34.0
204.70.3
196.5196.2
Auto24.6
Teleop160.3
End21.2
Second
5426
#11
148.514.4
89.0103.5
Auto19.6
Teleop106.3
End25.5
red by 15.5
6725
#27
133.013.9
93.7107.6
Auto17.2
Teleop101.3
End16.1
Third
3571
#13
120.516.8
67.884.5
Auto15.9
Teleop95.6
End9.6
red by 7.3
113.217.0
65.782.7
Auto15.7
Teleop87.8
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed