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Red120
5821122.2
4932121.9
490299.5
Blue392
772199.5
6854109.6
6202122.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2283290100400500600700120392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5821
#33
122.216.3
71.788.0
Auto17.3
Teleop88.6
End13.3
blue by 77.3
772
#2
199.51.0
173.1174.2
Auto28.8
Teleop140.1
End32.2
Second
4932
#30
121.98.6
92.6101.2
Auto15.1
Teleop88.8
End22.2
blue by 0.1
6202
#18
122.19.8
83.292.9
Auto16.8
Teleop92.5
End12.8
Third
4902
#29
99.58.7
84.693.3
Auto14.0
Teleop76.7
End12.9
blue by 10.1
6854
#12
109.611.0
77.788.7
Auto15.9
Teleop83.1
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed