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Red149
6544142.4
4936146.6
540896.6
Blue368
6537113.2
5505171.2
6481129.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27929901,0002,0003,0004,000149368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.65.1
140.3145.3
Auto21.4
Teleop108.8
End18.1
blue by 24.6
5505
#17
171.20.3
162.5162.8
Auto17.9
Teleop134.2
End21.9
Second
6544
#10
142.40.3
142.3142.0
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End30.3
red by 13.1
6481
#32
129.32.0
126.2128.2
Auto15.0
Teleop96.4
End20.2
Third
5408
#34
96.61.1
99.198.1
Auto16.9
Teleop80.1
End0.2
blue by 16.6
113.20.9
108.8107.9
Auto15.7
Teleop87.8
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed