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Red217
6331102.4
5288114.6
4688125.6
Blue383
4595115.6
6725133.0
4992138.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262300100200400500217383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4688
#24
125.63.9
122.8126.7
Auto19.0
Teleop97.6
End11.4
blue by 13.2
138.84.7
126.5131.2
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.9
Second
5288
#35
114.61.2
124.1122.9
Auto16.6
Teleop85.5
End10.7
blue by 18.4
6725
#27
133.00.0
129.5129.5
Auto17.2
Teleop101.3
End16.1
Third
6331
#28
102.40.3
107.4107.1
Auto15.4
Teleop71.9
End14.1
blue by 13.3
4595
#21
115.60.1
112.1112.2
Auto12.6
Teleop91.6
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed