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Red174
6992125.6
4920118.2
5821122.2
Blue558
6854109.6
5689118.8
610238.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2283810100300500600700174558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6992
#14
125.63.4
115.7119.0
Auto16.0
Teleop88.4
End25.5
blue by 113.1
610
#1
238.71.5
223.8225.3
Auto29.2
Teleop172.6
End39.4
Second
5821
#33
122.24.4
116.1120.5
Auto17.3
Teleop88.6
End13.3
red by 3.4
5689
#22
118.81.0
116.7115.7
Auto16.5
Teleop88.9
End18.2
Third
4920
#19
118.20.5
115.5115.0
Auto17.0
Teleop88.8
End14.7
red by 8.6
6854
#12
109.60.6
104.2104.8
Auto15.9
Teleop83.1
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed