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Red469
4405163.2
772199.5
4932121.9
Blue116
5885134.7
6331102.4
4938108.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4351670100200300400500600700469116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#2
199.51.9
188.7190.6
Auto28.8
Teleop140.1
End32.2
red by 64.7
5885
#16
134.70.2
134.2134.3
Auto15.9
Teleop97.3
End25.1
Second
4405
#20
163.21.3
169.1167.8
Auto22.1
Teleop121.4
End19.9
red by 54.4
4938
#31
108.82.1
114.5112.4
Auto17.4
Teleop82.7
End7.9
Third
4932
#30
121.91.4
117.4118.8
Auto15.1
Teleop88.8
End22.2
red by 19.6
6331
#28
102.41.4
105.9104.5
Auto15.4
Teleop71.9
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed