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Red538
610238.7
1114213.1
6537113.2
Blue224
6544142.4
865171.5
6854109.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4702060100300400600700538224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
238.72.7
227.2229.9
Auto29.2
Teleop172.6
End39.4
red by 67.2
865
#6
171.53.1
159.4162.5
Auto22.1
Teleop124.5
End26.8
Second
213.10.3
212.8213.1
Auto27.2
Teleop158.0
End25.4
red by 70.7
6544
#10
142.40.0
141.1141.2
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End30.3
Third
113.21.7
108.9110.5
Auto15.7
Teleop87.8
End10.6
red by 3.6
6854
#12
109.61.2
106.6107.8
Auto15.9
Teleop83.1
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed