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Red392
5426148.5
772199.5
6881105.0
Blue297
540896.6
865171.5
6992125.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3692590100200300400500600392297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#2
199.51.9
190.6192.5
Auto28.8
Teleop140.1
End32.2
red by 28.0
865
#6
171.52.6
162.5165.2
Auto22.1
Teleop124.5
End26.8
Second
5426
#11
148.52.6
142.1144.7
Auto19.6
Teleop106.3
End25.5
red by 22.9
6992
#14
125.62.3
120.9123.2
Auto16.0
Teleop88.4
End25.5
Third
6881
#15
105.02.4
107.9105.4
Auto17.1
Teleop82.3
End5.7
red by 8.4
5408
#34
96.60.1
96.095.9
Auto16.9
Teleop80.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed