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Red320
6875113.2
5505171.2
5885134.7
Blue341
3538204.7
77390.9
6481129.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28231002004006008001,0001,2001,4001,600320341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#17
171.21.4
164.6166.0
Auto17.9
Teleop134.2
End21.9
blue by 33.5
204.71.1
200.5201.6
Auto24.6
Teleop160.3
End21.2
Second
5885
#16
134.70.5
134.3133.9
Auto15.9
Teleop97.3
End25.1
red by 5.4
6481
#32
129.31.6
131.3129.8
Auto15.0
Teleop96.4
End20.2
Third
6875
#23
113.20.7
108.4109.1
Auto16.3
Teleop82.8
End15.2
red by 22.3
773
#36
90.90.2
90.990.6
Auto12.4
Teleop72.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed