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Red456
610238.7
6875113.2
6331102.4
Blue280
3571120.5
6992125.6
4992138.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3862580100200300500600456280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
238.72.5
232.2234.7
Auto29.2
Teleop172.6
End39.4
red by 99.9
138.81.0
137.0138.0
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.9
Second
6875
#23
113.21.0
109.1110.0
Auto16.3
Teleop82.8
End15.2
blue by 12.5
6992
#14
125.62.4
123.2125.6
Auto16.0
Teleop88.4
End25.5
Third
6331
#28
102.40.7
103.1102.4
Auto15.4
Teleop71.9
End14.1
blue by 18.1
3571
#13
120.50.5
119.7120.2
Auto15.9
Teleop95.6
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed