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Red295
772199.5
4938108.8
490299.5
Blue276
6725133.0
6544142.4
5505171.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713550100200300400500295276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#2
199.52.3
192.5194.9
Auto28.8
Teleop140.1
End32.2
red by 28.2
5505
#17
171.21.7
166.0167.7
Auto17.9
Teleop134.2
End21.9
Second
4938
#31
108.81.7
110.5108.8
Auto17.4
Teleop82.7
End7.9
blue by 33.6
6544
#10
142.40.5
141.4141.9
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End30.3
Third
4902
#29
99.51.4
98.199.5
Auto14.0
Teleop76.7
End12.9
blue by 33.5
6725
#27
133.00.0
133.0133.0
Auto17.2
Teleop101.3
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned