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Red378
997151.4
1432117.0
2733145.0
Blue160
4662142.7
3024124.1
2411122.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3303090200400600800378160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#10
151.40.1
151.7151.5
Auto18.9
Teleop119.3
End14.4
red by 8.6
4662
#14
142.70.2
142.6142.7
Auto16.8
Teleop107.3
End17.8
Second
2733
#23
145.00.2
144.5144.6
Auto22.5
Teleop109.5
End14.2
red by 21.0
124.10.6
123.5124.1
Auto19.5
Teleop92.4
End13.8
Third
117.00.2
116.3116.5
Auto21.0
Teleop84.6
End14.9
blue by 5.4
2411
#16
122.30.3
122.0122.3
Auto14.9
Teleop92.7
End14.4