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Red396
3674164.1
957172.7
3636118.2
Blue275
1510139.4
847141.5
2521129.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381292200500600700396275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#2
172.70.8
169.6170.4
Auto21.7
Teleop131.4
End21.7
red by 31.2
847
#8
141.50.4
140.6141.0
Auto21.2
Teleop108.6
End15.1
Second
164.10.5
162.1162.6
Auto17.9
Teleop115.7
End33.0
red by 24.7
139.40.2
139.0139.2
Auto19.0
Teleop101.7
End21.2
Third
3636
#33
118.20.0
118.3118.3
Auto17.8
Teleop88.9
End10.0
blue by 10.7
2521
#21
129.00.2
128.5128.7
Auto16.9
Teleop99.1
End13.7