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Red362
5450127.0
1571119.6
1359116.5
Blue202
720499.8
4043110.4
3636118.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972430100200400500600362202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
127.00.2
113.0113.2
Auto20.3
Teleop92.5
End13.8
red by 8.8
3636
#33
118.21.2
110.0111.2
Auto17.8
Teleop88.9
End10.0
Second
1571
#17
119.60.4
105.5105.9
Auto19.1
Teleop91.9
End10.6
red by 9.2
4043
#32
110.40.3
104.1103.8
Auto14.9
Teleop77.8
End18.8
Third
1359
#22
116.51.7
117.9116.2
Auto15.6
Teleop90.0
End10.9
red by 16.7
7204
#28
99.80.2
93.793.9
Auto17.4
Teleop77.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed