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Red419
3024124.1
3674164.1
2811202.9
Blue216
7034141.7
5975124.6
4110106.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3952090100300500600419216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#11
202.90.6
198.8199.4
Auto22.9
Teleop164.9
End16.3
red by 61.2
7034
#19
141.72.0
124.4126.4
Auto18.7
Teleop95.9
End26.4
Second
164.10.6
146.9147.5
Auto17.9
Teleop115.7
End33.0
red by 39.5
5975
#29
124.60.0
126.6126.6
Auto16.6
Teleop99.5
End7.5
Third
124.10.8
107.1107.9
Auto19.5
Teleop92.4
End13.8
red by 17.5
4110
#30
106.61.0
96.797.7
Auto15.7
Teleop79.3
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed