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Red250
2733145.0
5198108.8
4662142.7
Blue387
3674164.1
997151.4
1432117.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713370100200300400500250387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#23
145.00.8
145.3144.5
Auto22.5
Teleop109.5
End14.2
blue by 19.0
164.10.5
148.1148.6
Auto17.9
Teleop115.7
End33.0
Second
4662
#14
142.72.1
131.3133.4
Auto16.8
Teleop107.3
End17.8
blue by 8.6
997
#10
151.40.2
149.0149.2
Auto18.9
Teleop119.3
End14.4
Third
5198
#27
108.80.9
107.8106.9
Auto13.8
Teleop82.3
End15.7
blue by 8.2
117.02.1
102.1104.2
Auto21.0
Teleop84.6
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed