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Red209
957172.7
2521129.0
3131103.6
Blue408
5970116.8
3024124.1
2471186.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275317100200400500209408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#2
172.70.7
158.4159.1
Auto21.7
Teleop131.4
End21.7
blue by 14.2
186.82.3
163.0165.4
Auto19.7
Teleop126.5
End44.9
Second
2521
#21
129.00.4
131.5131.9
Auto16.9
Teleop99.1
End13.7
red by 4.9
124.11.9
109.5111.4
Auto19.5
Teleop92.4
End13.8
Third
3131
#31
103.60.2
107.5107.3
Auto13.9
Teleop82.0
End7.4
blue by 13.2
5970
#25
116.81.8
120.8119.0
Auto14.6
Teleop96.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsEarned