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Red243
847141.5
2635168.0
2521129.0
Blue328
997151.4
7034141.7
2411122.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345277100200400500600700243328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.01.3
164.9166.2
Auto22.0
Teleop129.7
End14.3
red by 16.6
997
#10
151.40.1
150.8150.6
Auto18.9
Teleop119.3
End14.4
Second
847
#8
141.50.2
140.7140.9
Auto21.2
Teleop108.6
End15.1
blue by 0.2
7034
#19
141.70.9
133.9134.8
Auto18.7
Teleop95.9
End26.4
Third
2521
#21
129.00.0
130.4130.4
Auto16.9
Teleop99.1
End13.7
red by 6.6
2411
#16
122.30.1
119.0118.9
Auto14.9
Teleop92.7
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed