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Red259
3812119.8
6343145.3
5198108.8
Blue355
5975124.6
1359116.5
4057135.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306299200250350400450259355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6343
#12
145.32.4
133.9136.3
Auto20.9
Teleop105.3
End20.2
red by 10.2
4057
#13
135.10.3
131.3131.6
Auto19.5
Teleop98.4
End16.6
Second
3812
#26
119.81.3
113.8115.0
Auto16.3
Teleop88.3
End15.4
blue by 4.8
5975
#29
124.61.3
126.2124.8
Auto16.6
Teleop99.5
End7.5
Third
5198
#27
108.80.1
106.1106.2
Auto13.8
Teleop82.3
End15.7
blue by 7.7
1359
#22
116.50.3
114.7114.4
Auto15.6
Teleop90.0
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed