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Red222
4692112.8
3131103.6
3024124.1
Blue248
289892.3
1432117.0
5450127.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265287150200350400450222248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.11.6
115.7117.3
Auto19.5
Teleop92.4
End13.8
blue by 2.9
127.01.8
120.4122.2
Auto20.3
Teleop92.5
End13.8
Second
4692
#18
112.80.2
107.4107.6
Auto17.4
Teleop85.4
End11.4
blue by 4.2
117.01.7
111.6113.3
Auto21.0
Teleop84.6
End14.9
Third
3131
#31
103.61.1
105.9104.8
Auto13.9
Teleop82.0
End7.4
red by 11.3
2898
#34
92.30.3
92.091.7
Auto12.5
Teleop71.8
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed