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Red193
4662142.7
5970116.8
2915114.6
Blue382
2811202.9
703278.4
4043110.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284275100200400500193382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4662
#14
142.70.8
138.3139.1
Auto16.8
Teleop107.3
End17.8
blue by 60.1
2811
#11
202.90.3
201.4201.1
Auto22.9
Teleop164.9
End16.3
Second
5970
#25
116.80.2
117.6117.7
Auto14.6
Teleop96.5
End5.1
red by 6.4
4043
#32
110.40.7
106.0106.8
Auto14.9
Teleop77.8
End18.8
Third
2915
#35
114.60.9
114.8115.7
Auto13.2
Teleop91.1
End8.1
red by 36.2
7032
#36
78.40.1
73.673.5
Auto9.4
Teleop67.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed