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Red391
2471186.8
720499.8
1571119.6
Blue268
3674164.1
2550132.2
3636118.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323318250300350400450391268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.81.2
170.6171.9
Auto19.7
Teleop126.5
End44.9
red by 22.8
164.11.7
153.0154.6
Auto17.9
Teleop115.7
End33.0
Second
1571
#17
119.60.5
111.4111.9
Auto19.1
Teleop91.9
End10.6
blue by 12.6
2550
#20
132.20.1
131.3131.4
Auto24.3
Teleop89.4
End16.4
Third
7204
#28
99.80.0
96.996.8
Auto17.4
Teleop77.9
End6.4
blue by 18.4
3636
#33
118.20.7
115.9116.6
Auto17.8
Teleop88.9
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed