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Red405
3674164.1
4057135.1
3812119.8
Blue293
847141.5
3636118.2
955115.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3622770100200400500600700405293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.11.5
155.7157.3
Auto17.9
Teleop115.7
End33.0
red by 22.6
847
#8
141.50.6
140.5139.9
Auto21.2
Teleop108.6
End15.1
Second
4057
#13
135.11.0
132.3133.3
Auto19.5
Teleop98.4
End16.6
red by 16.9
3636
#33
118.20.6
116.9117.5
Auto17.8
Teleop88.9
End10.0
Third
3812
#26
119.81.1
116.1117.2
Auto16.3
Teleop88.3
End15.4
red by 4.1
955
#24
115.70.2
116.0115.8
Auto14.5
Teleop87.0
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed