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Red147
5975124.6
1510139.4
5198108.8
Blue436
2471186.8
5450127.0
4692112.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257366100200300400500600147436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
139.41.0
137.8138.8
Auto19.0
Teleop101.7
End21.2
blue by 47.5
186.82.5
175.8178.3
Auto19.7
Teleop126.5
End44.9
Second
5975
#29
124.60.5
124.0124.5
Auto16.6
Teleop99.5
End7.5
blue by 2.4
127.00.3
125.2125.4
Auto20.3
Teleop92.5
End13.8
Third
5198
#27
108.81.3
107.0108.4
Auto13.8
Teleop82.3
End15.7
blue by 4.0
4692
#18
112.81.0
108.8109.8
Auto17.4
Teleop85.4
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsEarned